Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - United States

Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - United States



The annual revisions to GDP, released last week, imply a higher short-run potential growth rate for the US economy and a reduced risk of a sudden and significant increase in layoffs. This increases our conviction in our above-consensus GDP growth forecast of 2.5% for the US in 2025.


US: Revisions strengthen conviction in our 2025 GDP forecast
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term forecast
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic Risk Evaluation
Risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Long-term prospects
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Policy
Politics

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