Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - United Arab Emirates

Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - United Arab Emirates



Growth in the non-oil oil economy eased at the beginning of the year, with non-oil GDP expanding by 4% in Q1. Although data for Abu Dhabi suggests growth picked up slightly in Q2, the PMI for the non-oil sector fell to near three-year lows in September, suggesting a continuing slower growth rate. We expect non-oil growth of 4.5% this year with overall GDP rising to 3.7%.


United Arab Emirates : Non-oil growth to remain robust despite some easing
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Background
Economic development
Policy and politics
Structure of the economy
Structure of trade

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