Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - United Arab Emirates

Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - United Arab Emirates



We continue to expect non-oil GDP in the UAE will grow by 4.6% this year. But momentum in the UAE economy appears to be slowing, so we think non-oil growth will ease to 4.1% in 2025. In July 2024, the UAE's private sector marked its slowest improvement in almost three years, with the PMI slipping to 53.7 from 54.6 in June. Competitive conditions, rising price pressures, and capacity overloads contributed to this trend, although sales and exports remained favourable.


United Arab Emirates : Momentum is easing, but growth will remain robust
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Background
Economic development
Policy and politics
Structure of the economy
Structure of trade

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