Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Turkey
Turkey's economic performance surprised to the upside in Q1, prompting an upward revision to our 2022 GDP growth forecast, which we now see expanding at a 3% pace, 0.9ppts higher than a month ago. However, the surge in inflation is swiftly eroding purchasing power and weighing on consumer demand, as seen in recent high-frequency data, including the PMI survey, and we think the economy will have contracted in Q2.
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