Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Sweden

We've increased our GDP growth forecasts for Sweden by 0.1ppt to 2.3% in 2025 and by 0.3ppts over the medium term. This is because of expected higher defence spending in Sweden, which will increase to 3% of GDP by 2030 from 2.4% currently, and in Europe, which will benefit Sweden's large defence industry. We expect growth will be driven by domestic demand this year.


Sweden: Growth outlook boosted by higher defence spending
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Long-term prospects
Alternative long-run scenarios
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Policy
Politics

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