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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Sweden

Publisher Oxford Economics
Published Mar 19, 2026
Length 8 Pages
SKU # OFE21077184

Description

The conflict in the Middle East will dampen growth and increase inflation in Sweden. We now expect growth to be 0.2ppts lower this year at 2.2% and inflation higher by 1ppt at 1.9%. The associated hit to real incomes will weigh on consumer spending, while tightening financial conditions and lower demand will dampen investment. Risks skew towards a rate hike in Q2.

Table of Contents

8 Pages
Sweden: Middle East conflict negatively affects the outlook
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short
term outlook
Key drivers of our short
term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Long
term prospects
Alternative long
run scenarios
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Policy
Politics

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