Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Sweden

Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Sweden



We've lowered our growth forecast for Sweden in 2024 by 0.1ppt to 0.7% and increased it by 0.1ppt to 2.3% in 2025 due to a downside surprise to Q3 GDP. We now project medium-term GDP will be 0.1ppt smaller due to expected policy changes following the US elections, namely more protectionism. But we still expect the economy to pick up pace due to household real income gains, supportive fiscal and monetary policies, and improved domestic and external demand.


Sweden: Riksbank maintains a dovish bias despite new risks
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Long-term prospects
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Policy
Politics

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