Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Spain
The invasion of Ukraine by Russia will slow growth this year. The war has led to soaring energy prices and will push inflation even higher, eroding household real incomes. We now expect GDP to grow 5.1% this year (from a previous 5.6% forecast) and 3.9% in 2023. If the conflict escalates and continues for an extended period, it will lead to further downward revisions given the impact on inflation, incomes, confidence and supply chains.
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