Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Slovenia

Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Slovenia



We've cut our 2024 GDP growth forecast for Slovenia by 0.6ppts to 1.4% due to a stagnation in H1. But we've increased our forecast for 2025 by 0.2ppts to 2.7%. We expect domestic demand will be the main growth engine, amid large real income gains by households and EU-level funding for investments. External demand should also improve after a weak 2024.


Slovenia: Surprise stagnation in H1 knocks full-year growth
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments
Policy and politics

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