Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Saudi Arabia

Preliminary Q4 estimates show Saudi GDP aligning with our expectations of 4.4% y/y growth, an increase from 3% in the previous quarter. This brings overall 2024 growth to 1.4%, in line with our projections. The non-oil sector continues to strengthen due to diversification efforts, as reflected in a robust 4.6% expansion during the quarter. We anticipate this momentum to persist into 2025 and overall growth to increase to 3.9%.


Saudi Arabia: Growth is expected to bounce back in 2025
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Politics
Economic policy

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