Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Portugal
We have cut our 2022 GDP growth forecast to 5% from 5.3% due to Russia's invasion of Ukraine and associated higher-for-longer energy price inflation. Still, we think Portugal will likely be among the eurozone countries least affected economically by the conflict. The structure and composition of the Portuguese electricity market are expected to continue to mitigate the rise in prices, while Portugal also has modest direct trade links with Russia and Ukraine.
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