Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - North Macedonia
We have raised our inflation forecast for North Macedonia to 4.2% in 2025 from 2.5%. The North Macedonian government has capped food profit margins to combat rising inflation. We think this policy will take effect at the end of 2024, leading us to lower our CPI estimate for 2024 to 3.2%. However, we think inflation will rise again in 2025 because we expect firms will raise prices as soon as this restriction is lifted and the base level of the price index will be lower.
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