We’ve become more optimistic that Lebanon's economy will return to expansion this year and have raised our 2025 GDP growth forecast by 0.6ppts to 1.4%. The election of Joseph Aoun as the new president in January and the formation of a new government after nearly three years under an interim administration should foster re-engagement with the IMF and economic reform, which we believe will be critical to the revival of the economy. We continue to expect GDP growth of 3.6% in 2026.
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