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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Lebanon

Publisher Oxford Economics
Published Oct 17, 2025
Length 6 Pages
SKU # OFE20535939

Description

We've kept our GDP growth forecasts for Lebanon at 1.8% for 2025 and 4.3% for 2026, both modestly above consensus. Business activity appears buoyant with the economy continuing to benefit from seasonal winds in its sails, and we remain cautiously optimistic on the near-term outlook. However, internal discord over electoral laws has raised fears of a delay in holding the parliamentary elections, scheduled for May 2026.

Table of Contents

6 Pages
Lebanon: Activity improves to the strongest in more than a decade
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Policy and politics

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