We've cut our 2025 GDP growth forecast for Latvia by 0.4ppts to 2.3%. While we estimate a modest pick-up in activity in the final quarter of 2024 ended the year-long recession, the momentum at the turn of the year was soft. We expect recovery will proceed this year, setting the stage for the above-3% GDP growth in 2026 amid a continued rebound in domestic demand and some improvement in the external environment. But risks are skewed to the downside.
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