Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Italy

Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Italy



Italian GDP growth forecasts for 2024 are 0.8% and at 1% for 2025, but we recognize there are some downside risks to our outlook as surveys have been softer than at the start of the year. We project inflation will average 1% this year and 1.8% next, when the contribution from energy inflation will increase.


Italy: We expect broadly stable growth this year and next
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Long-term prospects
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Policy
Politics

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