Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Israel
Description
We've raised our GDP growth forecasts for Israel by 1ppt to 5.2% in 2026 and 0.5ppts to 4.3% in 2027. In our view, very solid underlying economic fundamentals will reassert themselves as the impact of the conflict with Hamas continues to fade. This will support a further easing in supply constraints, particularly in the labour market, and drive an upturn in private sector demand. These factors are expected to more than offset the drags from a modest tightening of fiscal policy and the hit to exports and business investment from changes in US trade policy.
Table of Contents
8 Pages
- Israel: Growth prospects improve as headwinds continue to fade
- Forecast overview
- Recent developments
- Short-term outlook
- Key drivers of our short-term forecast
- Economic risk
- Economic risk evaluation
- Risk warnings
- What to watch out for
- Exposure to key global risks
- Long-term prospects
- Alternative long-run scenarios
- Background
- Economic development
- Structure of the economy
- Balance of payments and structure of trade
- Policy
- Politics
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