Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Ireland

We forecast Ireland's GDP will grow by 4.0% this year and 3.5% in 2026, after contracting by 0.2% in 2024. Irish GDP rebounded by 3.5% q/q in Q3. We think this is the start of a recovery after five declines in the previous six quarters. But this isn't guaranteed given persistent data distortions.


Ireland: Underlying growth is moderating
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Long-term prospects
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Policy
Politics

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