Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - India
We have lowered our 2022 GDP growth forecast to 7.3% from 7.7% last month and our 2023 forecast to 5.8% from 6.9%. These reductions reflect the substantial upward revisions to our oil and other commodity price forecasts following Russia's invasion of Ukraine. We estimate that sharply higher import prices could lower India's terms of trade by 11ppts this year, which will have serious ramifications for both producers and consumers.
- India: Deteriorating terms of trade to weigh on the economy
- Forecast overview
- Recent developments
- Short-term outlook
- Key drivers of our short-term forecast
- Economic risk
- Economic risk evaluation
- Risk warnings
- What to watch out for
- Exposure to key global risks
- Long-term prospects
- Background
- Economic development
- Structure of the economy
- Balance of payments and structure of trade
- Policy
- Politics
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