Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Hong Kong SAR
A strong export-led start to the year led us to revise up our 2024 forecast for Hong Kong's growth to 3.6%. In 2025, while we've pencilled in sequential moderation in growth, favourable base effects will push y/y growth to 4.1%. This is consistent with recent activity data which overwhelmingly suggested that the economic momentum slowed on a sequential basis in Q2.
Hong Kong SAR: Persistent weakness in consumer and business sentiment