Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Germany

Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Germany



We've lowered our GDP growth forecast for Germany in 2025 by 0.2ppts to 0.7% and still expect GDP to stagnate this year. The details of the Q2 GDP report were disappointing and more recent data has surprised to the downside as the drag from industry's recession remains large. Meanwhile, the growing labour market softness will curb the expected real income driven consumer recovery.


Germany: Labour market softness undermines the consumer recovery
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Long-term prospects
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Policy
Politics

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