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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - France

Publisher Oxford Economics
Published Jan 21, 2026
Length 9 Pages
SKU # OFE20872841

Description

We still forecast France's GDP will grow by a subdued 0.8% pace in 2026, a minor slowdown following an estimated 0.9% expansion in 2025. Though surveys are improving, persistent political instability will continue to hold back growth this year. Household pessimism will likely prevent a sustained pick-up in consumption.

Table of Contents

9 Pages
France: A modest, gradual economic upturn will start the year
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Long-term prospects
Alternative long-run scenarios
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Policy
Politics

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