Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - France

Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - France



We've left our GDP growth forecast for France unchanged at 1.1% for 2024. But we've cut our 2025 projection by 0.1ppts to 0.8% as GDP figures for Q3 2024 were a bit less favourable than we expected, resulting in a weaker carryover. Plus, deteriorating business sentiment is clouding the outlook for next year.


France: Momentum is faltering as uncertainties grow
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Long-term prospects
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Policy
Politics

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