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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Finland

Publisher Oxford Economics
Published Jan 21, 2026
Length 8 Pages
SKU # OFE20872840

Description

We've improved our forecast for Finland's GDP growth this year by 0.1ppt to 1% due to positive dataflow at end-2025. After years of underperformance, firming private demand should be the main growth driver, with fiscal consolidation the principal drag. Key downside risks relate to the strength of the labour market, the propensity of households to save, and policy uncertainty.

Table of Contents

8 Pages
Finland: Firming private demand should drive growth in 2026
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Long-term prospects
Alternative long-run scenarios
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Policy
Politics

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