Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Finland

We kept our 2025 GDP growth forecast for Finland largely unchanged at 1.4%. We think cyclical tailwinds in the form of real income gains, lower interest rates, and stronger external demand will support growth this year. Key risks relate to the extent to which households spend or save real income gains, labour market strength, and global trade protectionism.


Finland: Growth set to pick up, but downside risks still dominate
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Long-term prospects
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Policy
Politics

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