Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Finland

Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Finland



We've kept our 2025 GDP growth forecast for Finland at 1.5%. We think cyclical tailwinds of real income gains, lower interest rates, and stronger external demand will support growth next year. Finland's exports to the US amount to 3% of GDP. But only a tiny share is from sectors we expect will face higher US tariffs. We lifted our 2024 forecast slightly due to stronger Q3 data.


Finland: Growth firmed up in Q3, boding well for 2025
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Long-term prospects
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Policy
Politics

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