Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Czech Republic

We have kept our GDP growth forecast for the Czech Republic unchanged at 2.3% in 2025 and 2.7% in 2026. However, we will likely upgrade our outlook, particularly over the medium term, in light of the nascent German fiscal stimulus. This is expected to generate both positive and negative spillovers for the Czech economy, given its strong trade ties with Germany. It will also partially offset the negative impact of U.S. tariffs, which we anticipate will be imposed in Q2.


Czech Republic: Domestic-driven growth continues amid external uncertainty
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Medium-term outlook
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings.
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Politics and policy

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