Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Czech Republic
Description
We have kept our 2026 Czech GDP growth forecast at 2.2%, but think risks are skewed modestly to the upside. The economy grew 0.5% q/q in Q4 last year, in line with our expectations, resulting in a 0.9ppts carryover into 2026. However, growth remains mostly driven by consumer spending, with investment growth still soft and net trade broadly neutral for growth. We expect the growth structure to rebalance only gradually throughout 2026.
Table of Contents
8 Pages
- Czech Republic: Domestic economy carries solid momentum
- Forecast overview
- Recent developments
- Short-term outlook
- Key drivers of our short-term forecast
- Medium-term outlook
- Economic risk
- Economic risk evaluation
- Risk warnings.
- What to watch out for
- Exposure to key global risks
- Long-term prospects
- Alternative long-run scenarios
- Background
- Economic development
- Structure of the economy
- Balance of payments and structure of trade
- Politics and policy
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