Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Canada

Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Canada



We upgraded our 2024 GDP growth forecast for Canada by 0.4ppts to 0.9% largely due to stronger-than-expected growth in Q2. But the economy is losing momentum, and so we've cut our 2025 growth forecast by 0.2ppts to 1.2%. The Q2 pick-up in economic growth will not continue since it mainly reflected one-off, higher government spending on retroactive wage settlements and capital expenditures on aircraft, ships, locomotives, and railway rolling stock.


Canada: An underperforming economy will prompt deeper rate cuts
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Long-term prospects
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Policy
Politics

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