Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Canada
Consumers and businesses are starting to yield to higher interest rates, and their full impact is building. The Canadian economy already slipped into a technical recession in Q2 and Q3 2023 according to preliminary GDP estimates by StatCan. We anticipate sharper contractions through Q1 2024 as the past 18 months of tighter monetary policy weaken demand. We forecast GDP to grow by 0.8% this year, before contracting by 0.4% in 2024, unchanged from last month.
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