Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Bulgaria

We've nudged up our 2025 GDP growth forecast for Bulgaria by 0.1ppt to 3%. Fourth-quarter data came in stronger than expected, with the economy growing by 0.9% q/q. After extensive parliamentary discussions, Bulgaria's 2025 Budget was approved on March 21. However, we think the government's ambitious approach raises concerns about long-term fiscal sustainability.


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