Country Economic Forecasts - Latvia
The pandemic-induced downturn was reversed last year despite a Q4 slowdown due to new Covid19 restrictions, and GDP growth is forecast to stay close to 4% in 2022-23 despite the Russian invasion of Ukraine probably dampening trade and investment. Finance, exports and energy supplies are more resilient than in past times of Russian isolation, with more scope for fiscal action to counter lower private-sector and international demand. While the global rise in energy and food prices will lift inflation higher, this remains lower than elsewhere in the region, and set to fall back to eurozone levels within two years.
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