Industry - Commodity Price Forecasts - Commodity Price Forecasts

Industry - Commodity Price Forecasts - Commodity Price Forecasts



Oil prices have fallen sharply in recent weeks, dropping as low as $75pb. Despite rising Middle East tensions from the deaths of senior Hamas and Hezbollah leaders in Tehran, weak global demand, particularly in China, is still preoccupying markets. As the global economy is slowing, the potential upside in oil prices will stay limited for the rest of 2024. We see some near-term upside potential as markets rebound from last week’s declines, but think Brent will stay capped around the $80pb level.


Global: The commodity supercycle is nowhere to be found
Oil Overview
Oil prices down on weak demand
OPEC reaffirms messaging
Oil demand weakens at height of summer season
Brent to close the year at $79pb
Gas Overview
We expect gas prices to correct in Q3
Iron & Steel Overview
Ferrous metals' summer price weakness
Low demand and oversupply hurt prices
Base Metals Overview
Prices remain under pressure in August
Precious Metals Overview
Gold continues to consolidate
Silver and PGMs sentiment remains volatile
Battery Metals Overview
Battery metals prices will slowly recover
Agricultural Commodities Overview
Contagion pushes prices lower
Risks
Trump presidency
Middle East conflict
Russia-Ukraine war
Macroeconomic risks
Middle East conflict

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