Autonomous Bus Market Size - By Level of Autonomy (Level 1, Level 2, Level 3, Level 4), Fuel (Diesel, Electric, Hybrid), Application (Intercity, Intracity), Growth Prospects, Regional Outlook & Global Forecast, 2023 - 2032
Autonomous bus market size is projected to grow at 19.7% CAGR from 2023 to 2032, due to the increasing urbanization coupled with the growing need for efficient and sustainable public transportation. Several governments and transit authorities worldwide are investing in smart mobility solutions to address traffic congestion and reduce emissions.
The rising advances in AI and sensor technologies are contributing to the development of reliable autonomous systems for enhancing safety and navigation capabilities. For instance, in May 2023, the U.K. inaugurated a fully operational autonomous bus service available to the public. Additionally, the rising focus on electric and hybrid buses to meet the environmental sustainability goals is also facilitating the deployment of autonomous electric buses. The public acceptance for smart, efficient, and eco-friendly urban mobility solutions will further drive the industry growth ahead.
The market is segregated into level of autonomy, fuel, application, and region.
The level 4 autonomy segment is estimated to accumulate sizeable share of the autonomous bus market by 2032. This is ascribed to the growing technological advancements for enabling buses to operate with high autonomy in specific conditions without continuous human intervention. This level of automation also enhances safety, efficiency, and reliability in urban transportation systems.
Based on application, the autonomous bus industry value from the intercity segment is projected to increase at substantial CAGR through 2032, driven by the increasing demand for efficient and convenient long-distance transportation. Autonomous technology promises enhanced safety and comfort for intercity travel, emerging as an attractive solution for commuters. The rising government support and the growing focus on sustainable mobility will further drive the adoption of autonomous buses in intercity applications.
Regionally, the Europe autonomous bus market size is projected to expand at significant CAGR from 2023 to 2032. The growth can be attributed to the supportive regulatory frameworks, increasing emphasis on sustainable and smart mobility solutions, and the influx of government initiatives for promoting autonomous vehicle development. Additionally, rapid technological advancements, rising collaborations between industry stakeholders, and the growing demand for innovative public transportation will contribute to the regional market expansion.
Chapter 1 Methodology & Scope
1.1 Market definitions
1.2 Base estimates & calculations
1.3 Forecast calculation
1.4 Data sources
1.4.1 Primary
1.4.2 Secondary
1.4.2.1 Paid sources
1.4.2.2 Public sources
Chapter 2 Executive Summary
2.1 Autonomous bus market 360 degree synopsis, 2018 - 2032
2.2 Regional trends
2.3 Level of autonomy trends
2.4 Fuel trends
2.5 Application trends
Chapter 3 Autonomous Bus Market Industry Insights
3.1 Impact of COVID-19
3.2 Impact of Russia-Ukraine war
3.3 Industry ecosystem analysis
3.4 Vendor matrix
3.5 Profit margin analysis
3.6 Component & innovation landscape
3.7 Patent analysis
3.8 Key news and initiatives
3.9 Regulatory landscape
3.10 Impact forces
3.10.1 Growth drivers
3.10.1.1 Development of regulations pertaining to self-driving technologies globally
3.10.1.2 Rapid investments in R&D by bus manufacturers and technology providers in North America
3.10.1.3 Growing focus on automation and electrification of public transport in Europe
3.10.1.4 Rising implementation of autonomous shuttles in Asia Pacific
3.10.1.5 Increasing awareness related to autonomous vehicles in Latin America and Middle East & Africa
3.10.2 Industry pitfalls & challenges
3.10.2.1 Low consumer confidence due to passenger and pedestrian security concerns
3.10.2.2 Threat of cyber-attacks on autonomous vehicle software and solutions
3.11 Profit margin analysis
3.12 Vendor matrix analysis
3.13 Growth potential analysis
3.14 Porter's analysis
3.15 PESTEL analysis
Chapter 4 Competitive Landscape, 2022
4.1 Introduction
4.2 Company market share, 2022
4.3 Competitive analysis of major market players, 2022
4.3.1 AB Volvo
4.3.2 Apollo Baidu
4.3.3 Easymile SAS
4.3.4 MAN Truck & Bus
4.3.5 Mercedes Benz
4.3.6 New Flyer
4.3.7 Toyota Motor Corporation
4.4 Competitive positioning matrix, 2022
4.5 Strategic outlook matrix, 2022
Chapter 5 Autonomous Bus Market Estimates & Forecast, By Level of Autonomy (Revenue & Shipment)
5.1 Key trends, by level of autonomy
5.2 Level 1
5.3 Level 2
5.4 Level 3
5.5 Level 4
Chapter 6 Autonomous Bus Market Estimates & Forecast, By Fuel (Revenue & Shipment)
6.1 Key trends, by fuel
6.2 Diesel
6.3 Electric
6.4 Hybrid
Chapter 7 Autonomous Bus Market Estimates & Forecast, By Application (Revenue & Shipment)
7.1 Key trends, by application
7.2 Intercity
7.3 Intracity
Chapter 8 Autonomous Bus Market Estimates & Forecast, By Region (Revenue & Shipment)
8.1 Key trends, by region
8.2 North America
8.2.1 U.S.
8.2.2 Canada
8.3 Europe
8.3.1 UK
8.3.2 Germany
8.3.3 France
8.3.4 Italy
8.3.5 Switzerland
8.4 Asia Pacific
8.4.1 China
8.4.2 Australia
8.4.3 Japan
8.4.4 South Korea
8.4.5 Singapore
8.5 Latin America
8.5.1 Brazil
8.5.2 Mexico
8.5.3 Chile
8.6 MEA
8.6.1 UAE
8.6.2 Saudi Arabia
Chapter 9 Company Profiles
9.1 Bus manufacturers
9.1.1 AB Volvo
9.1.2 Apollo Baidu (Baidu, Inc.)
9.1.3 BYD Co. Ltd.
9.1.4 Easymile SAS
9.1.5 MAN Truck & Bus
9.1.6 Daimler AG
9.1.7 Navya
9.1.8 New Flyer (NFI Group)
9.1.9 Toyota Motor Corporation
9.1.10 Yutong Group Co. Ltd.
9.2 Automation driving solution provider
9.2.1 Continental AG
9.2.2 Denso Corporation
9.2.3 Robert Bosch GmbH
9.2.4 SB Drive Corp
9.2.5 ST Engineering
Data Tables
TABLE 1 Autonomous bus market 36 degree synopsis, 2018-2032