United Kingdom Warehousing and Distribution Logistics Market - Growth, Trends, COVID-19 Impact, and Forecasts (2023 - 2028)

United Kingdom Warehousing and Distribution Logistics Market - Growth, Trends, COVID-19 Impact, and Forecasts (2023 - 2028)

During the time frame of the forecast, the UK warehouse and distribution logistics market is expected to register a CAGR of more than 5%.

• COVID-19 pretty much brought the global flow of goods to a virtual standstill. Industries of all descriptions found it difficult to procure goods. Strict enforcement of border controls led to backups and delays. COVID-19 caused business revenues to plummet, and the market took a hit.
• Over the last decade, the number of logistics facilities in the UK has doubled. This prolific growth is perhaps best characterized in the Midlands, the region with the most concentrated number of logistics and warehouse providers in the UK. Additionally, parts of the East of England and Yorkshire and Humberside, regions not traditionally considered to be major logistics hubs, are now major sectoral logistics powerhouses.
• Britain's decision to leave the EU and the COVID-19 pandemic forced businesses in a wide range of industries to change how they do business. This led to the need for more warehouse space. In the Midlands, for example, 90% of the British population lives within a four-hour drive, which made it easy for businesses to store and ship goods anywhere in the UK quickly and efficiently. This made supply chains more efficient. In 2021, the number of transport and storage businesses was 88% higher than in 2011.
• Even though it has grown a lot over the last ten years, transport and storage are still a small industry in the UK. According to the Office of National Statistics (ONS), in 2011, there were approximately 17,000 postal and courier depots in the UK. By 2021, this number had grown by 147%, to 42,500. A big part of this growth came from the West Midlands.Couriers and haulers have been the main drivers of transport and storage growth over the past ten years. Also, after Britain left the EU, 69% of businesses in the transportation and storage industries said they used a wider range of suppliers.
• Because there are so many different kinds of distribution services and commercial transportation options are always changing, businesses need more cost-effective, flexible, and custom ways to handle logistics and warehouse storage. Also, this trend seems likely to keep going in the years to come, since eCommerce is still growing and some local businesses are closing down as people continue to look for better deals online than in person.
• The UK has high labor costs and a high rate of e-commerce. For example, per warehouse, the UK spends much more than the average country in the world. This makes it a prime market for warehouse automation. UK consumers have been buying things online for a long time and expect extremely fast (and free) delivery—something that requires levels of efficiency that can only be achieved with automation. Therefore, the UK has been faster to adopt e-commerce than other comparable European nations.
• But the figures are stark: in France, the e-commerce spend per warehouse was USD 20.2 million in 2021; in Italy, it was USD 8.8 million; and the UK has the world’s highest at USD 36 million. When it comes to the overall size of the warehouse automation market, Germany and the UK will lead Europe in 2020. According to industry estimates, the UK will have Europe’s largest warehouse automation market at USD 3.9 billion by 2025, at which point its market will be USD 900 million larger than Germany’s.

The impact of the coronavirus pandemic has led to people buying online a lot more than they used to. Online shopping as a percentage of all retail sales peaked at nearly 38% in January 2021, having stood at 8% at the start of 2011 and 19% in February 2020. It has since fallen back but remains around 28% in the latest period (February 2022). This has contributed to a sharp rise in new warehouse construction projects. New orders for the building of warehouses in the UK were worth GBP 5.6 billion (USD 6.75 billion) in 2021; this is more than in any year since 1985. The East Midlands accounted for one-fifth (20%) of the spending in 2021, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS) new orders data supplier, Barbour ABI. The other main locations for warehouse spending were Yorkshire and the Humber (16%), the East of England (13%), and the West Midlands (13%). The United Kingdom (UK) has the most advanced e-commerce market in Europe. In 2022, the country was expected to have nearly 60 million e-commerce users, leaving only a minority of the population as non-digital buyers. As such, e-commerce has undeniably become the norm for shoppers everywhere in the UK, and there is an ample amount of data to support this.

With a project value of USD 322 million, the Panattoni UK Development—Pantattoni Park Avonmouth Logistics Center—Bristol project was the largest warehouse construction project in the United Kingdom, on which construction started in Q4 2022. The Db Symmetry—Symmetry Park Doncaster—Doncaster project was the third largest, the Peveril Securities/Premcor Estates—Catalyst Logistic Park—Sheffield project was the fourth largest, and the Stoford Devs—Redditch Gateway Logistics Center—Worcestershire project was the fifth largest, with project values of USD 80 million, USD 67 million, and USD 35 million, respectively. Among the five largest projects, the Db Symmetry—Symmetry Park Doncaster—Doncaster project is the longest in terms of the completion date, with construction expected to be completed in Q4 2023. On the other hand, construction on the Peveril Securities/Premcor Estates—Catalyst Logistic Park—Shirley project is expected to be finished in Q1 2023, which is the shortest time frame.

In the next few years, automation is expected to be more productive and worth more money than human labor. Businesses worldwide are automating warehouses in response to changing operational environments. Increasing labor expenses, a labor shortage, and increased throughput needs are just a few of them. Furthermore, innovations in automation, such as lower costs and increased scalability, greatly boost warehouse automation. The size of the organization and the complexity of its supply chain are the key determining factors for how much businesses invest in warehouse automation technology. It’s probably fair to say that automation is still in its infancy in the UK warehousing sector, and most logistics SMEs are, at best, ‘partially automated'. However, the pandemic and the challenges of lockdown have made a growing number of businesses give serious thought to the benefits of automation—and, at the beginning of 2022, there were more businesses with a clear timeline and budget in place for automation than there were in the years before COVID-19.

Brexit resulted in a massive departure of EU nationals employed in the UK logistics industry. It has led to a shortfall of 330,000 people in the UK labor force, mostly in the low-skilled economy, a report by leading researchers has found. Transport and warehousing were the worst hit, with a reduction of 128,000 EU workers, or 8% of total employment in that sector. There is currently a scarcity of trained heavy goods vehicle (HGV) drivers and material handling equipment (MHE) operators within the space. This has led the industry players to look for automation. Most larger UK warehouses exceed 32 feet in height and occupy massive space. Much of this space is underutilized, and it all comes at a significant cost in a country where commercial space is at a premium. Autonomous mobile robots (AMRs) enable picking inside the tight confines of racking walls, allowing better use of space and opening the door to smaller and more affordable warehouse solutions for SMEs. Thus, more and more companies will be adopting warehouse automation in the near future.

The UK warehousing and distribution logistics market is highly fragmented, with the dominance of global and regional players. Some of the major players include DHL, DB Schenker, and CEVA Logistics. With a high number of companies operating in the market, the competition is very high. To gain a competitive edge over others, many players have started introducing new technologies like supply chain integration. The market is highly competitive, with players competing and partnering to gain a substantial market share.

• The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
• 3 months of analyst support