Southeast Asia Lng Market - Growth, Trends, and Forecasts (2023 - 2028)

Southeast Asia Lng Market - Growth, Trends, and Forecasts (2023 - 2028)

The Southeast LNG market is projected to register a CAGR of over 8% during the forecast period.

COVID-19 negatively impacted the market in 2020. Presently the market has now reached pre-pandemic levels.

• Increasing demand for gas power generation and a rising number of LNG-fueled fleets are expected to drive the Southeast Asian LNG market during the forecast period.
• However, LNG oversupply and trade tension is expected to hamper the market growth during the forecast period.
• A high number of LNG regasification projects/development plans are expected to be proposed in upcoming years, underpinned by the growing LNG demand, leading to the creation of several opportunities for the market players, thus, making an emerging LNG market.
• Singapore is expected to be the largest market during the forecast period owing to the increasing natural gas consumption in the region.

• As of 2022, the countries with the largest LNG operational liquefaction capacity in Southeast Asia were Malaysia, Indonesia, and Singapore.
• Indonesia, there are three LNG liquefaction plants currently operating in Indonesia that are the Badak in Bontang, East Kalimantan, Tangguh in West Papua, and Donggi-Senoro in Central Sulawesi, having a combined capacity of 22.5 million tons per annum.
• However, as of 2022, significant capacity expansion in the LNG Liquefication capacity in Indonesia is witnessed. For instance, in September 2022, Indonesian national oil company Pertamina announced the acquisition of Shell’s stake in the Inpex-operated proposed Abadi 9.5 million tonnes per annum liquefied natural gas mega-project in the country’s remote eastern area. Thus, such upcoming projects will likely drive the market during the forecast period.
• Furthermore, due to the negative impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, global LNG exports decreased by around 22% in June 2020, with countries such as Indonesia and Malaysia. The second half of 2020 registered a significant recovery as LNG export volumes gained momentum, with importing countries easing lockdowns and industrial activities returning to pre-COVID levels.
• In 2021, LNG export gradually decreased in Indonesia, i.e., 14.6 bcm compared to 16.8 bcm in 2020 due to increased domestic demand for LNG.
• Therefore, based on the factors mentioned above, the liquefaction sector is expected to dominate the southeast Asia LNG market during the forecast period.

• Natural gas is one of the options for the energy transition in Singapore. Furthermore, around 95% of electricity is generated from natural gas, as the country has increased reliance on LNG. Singapore does not produce LNG on its own. However, the government aims to become the global hub for LNG trade. Singapore is already a global hub for petroleum products in Asia. LNG is critical to the Singapore government's future economic development and energy security plans. In 2021, Singapore imported around 3.1 million tons of LNG.
• Singapore has one of the leading trade ports and is one of the global leaders in international marine shipping. In addition, the Straits of Malacca and the Singapore Strait, adjacent to Singapore, have become an integral passages for maritime transport, with many tankers, containers, cargo, and passenger ships, halting at Singapore and relying on the ports for resupplies of water, food, crew changes, and fuel refilling. Because of its strategic location, LNG as a bunkering fuel is expected to support the growth of LNG businesses in Singapore during the study period.
• To support the IMO 2020 regulations and to meet the rising demand for LNG as a fuel in the shipping industry, Singapore is likely to increase the LNG supply to its ports. The development of LNG as a fuel was initiated in Singapore before IMO 2020 imposed in 2017 when Singapore LNG Corporation Pte Ltd (SLNG) successfully loaded around 6,500 cubic meters to an LNG bunker vessel owned by Shell and co-financed by the European Union in Jurong Island.
• In May 2021, LNG and the Maritime Port Authority of Singapore completed the first bunkering of an LNG-fueled oil tanker in Singapore. Further, FueLNG announced its plans to provide 30 to 50 ship-to-ship LNG bunkering operations in 2021. Besides the Pacific Emerald tankers, FueLNGhas also lined up bunkering operations for containerships, chemical oil tankers, and bulk carriers. MPA 2020 inducted one LNG bunker vessel named FueLNG Bellina to promote LNG as a marine fuel. Further, the authority has plans to establish two more LNG bunker fuel tankers in 2021 and 2022. The upcoming LNG bunker vessel is expected to have a capacity of around 30,000 cubic meters.
• Furthermore, Singapore initiated LNG trucks in 2017. Singapore LNG Corporation and the Maritime and Port Authority of Singapore launched the LNG truck loading facility at the SLNG Terminal on Jurong Island. The LNG loaded on the trucks is sent to various industrial locations with no natural gas pipeline infrastructure. Additionally, the country is concentrating on having LNG-fueled trucks to control rising carbon emissions. By the end of 2021, PSA Corporation Limited inducted 160 LNG-fueled trucks for its various operations.
• Overall, the growing demand for LNG from the maritime and transportation sectors will likely boost LNG business in Singapore during the study period.

The Southeast Asia LNG market is moderately Consolidated. Some of the major players include Petronas, Singapore LNG Corporation Pte Ltd, JGC Holding Corporation, PTT LNG Co Ltd, and PT PGN LNG Indonesia, among others.

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