Russian Federation Oil and Gas Midstream Market - Growth, Trends, and Forecasts (2023 - 2028)
The Russian Federation oil and gas midstream market is expected to record a CAGR of 6.5% during the forecast period.
The market studied was negatively impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. However, the market has been recovering and has now reached pre-pandemic levels. Increasing oil and gas activities in the country and the increasing natural gas and crude oil trade with various nations across the world are expected to drive the market's growth during the forecast period. However, high volatility in crude oil and natural gas prices and the risks associated with infrastructural developments in oil and gas transportation, storage, and LNG terminal construction is anticipated to hinder the market's growth during the forecast period.
Russia holds a huge potential for increasing its oil and gas production. The country is planning to increase its gas consumption rate in its European part, which is expected to create an opportunity for the midstream market to grow during the forecast period.
Key Market TrendsTransportation as a Significant SegmentGlobally, pipelines are a major mode of transportation for crude oil, oil products, and natural gas. Russia’s natural gas accounted for 45% of imports and almost 40% of European Union gas demand in 2021.
As of 2021, Russia was the second-largest producer of natural gas, behind United States, and held the world’s largest gas reserves. In 2021, the country produced 762 billion cubic meters (bcm) of natural gas and exported 210 bcm via pipelines to various countries.
Russia imported nearly 14.6 billion cubic meters (bcm) of natural gas via pipelines in 2021, which was more than in the previous year.
Russia’s natural gas accounted for 45% of imports and almost 40% of EU gas demand in 2021. This share has increased in recent years as European natural gas production has declined. Germany, Turkey, and Italy are the largest importers of Russian natural gas.
Russia has expanded its liquefied natural gas capacity to compete with growing LNG exports from United States, Australia, and Qatar. In 2021, the government of Russia released a long-term LNG development plan, targeting 110-190 bcm/year of LNG exports by 2025.
Due to the above-mentioned factors, the transportation segment is expected to dominate the Russian Federation oil and gas midstream market during the forecast period.
Increasing Development of LNG TerminalsLNG terminals are exporting facilities for natural gas, where it gets converted to liquid form. Various gas pipelines and storage facilities are installed to facilitate terminals with natural gas and export them to various countries.
Russia was the fourth largest exporter of LNG worldwide in 2021. Nearly 30 million metric tons of liquefied natural gas (LNG) were exported from Russia in 2021.
Among operational natural gas liquefaction plants in Russia, Yamal LNG had the largest annual capacity as of November 2022. Each of its first three trains had a capacity of 5.5 million metric tons of LNG, while the fourth one, put into operation in 2021, had a capacity of 0.9 million metric tons. Yamal LNG was operated by Novatek. The second largest operational LNG liquefaction plant was Sakhalin II, whose two trains had a total capacity of 9.6 million metric tons per year.
The country has a few proposed LNG terminal projects. Arctic LNG-2 is one of the key proposed LNG projects with an estimated capacity of 19.8 MTPA. Thus, the commissioning of the ongoing and proposed LNG terminal is expected to boost the LNG terminal capacity and expand the midstream sector of the country during the forecast period.
In February 2022, Yakutia LNG, a 17.7 million metric ton/year (mmty) liquefaction project proposed for the Russian republic of Yakutia, is planned to start up in 2027 to deliver liquefied natural gas (LNG) from Russia’s Far Eastern coast to China. This project is expected to reach a final investment decision (FID) in 2023.
Due to the above-mentioned factors, increasing developments of LNG are expected to drive the Russian federation oil and gas market's growth during the forecast period.
Competitive LandscapeThe Russian Federation oil and gas midstream market is moderately consolidated. Some of the key players in the market (in no particular order) are Transneft PJSC, Gazprom PAO, NK Rosneft PAO, Novatek PAO, and Total SA.
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