Real Estate Industry In India - Growth, Trends, Covid-19 Impact, and Forecasts (2023 - 2028)
The Indian real estate market is expected to register a CAGR of more than 15% during the forecast period.
The country’s real estate market was affected by the COVID-19 pandemic. In addition, the residential sector was the worst hit as strict lockdown measures across major cities in India impacted housing sales as home registrations were suspended and home loan disbursement was slow. However, the sector is in a recovering phase due to an increase in house sales, new project launches, and increasing demand for new office and commercial spaces, etc.
However, real estate is the second largest sector in the country after agriculture in terms of providing employment opportunities. Moreover, the growth of the real estate market in the country is supported by increasing industrial activities, rapid urbanization, and improved income levels. This is further contributing to the economy of the country.
Furthermore, the government has initiated key policies for the development of the real estate sector, such as the Real Estate Regulatory Act (RERA) and the Benami Transactions Act. The government is also providing a boost to affordable housing construction, interest subsidy for home buyers, service tax exemption, Dividend Distribution Tax (DDT) exemption, PR for foreign investors, etc.
India Real Estate Market TrendsResidential Sector Witnessing Lucrative GrowthMajor developers are focusing on affordable and mid-range housing units to meet increasing demand in the country. Moreover, the growth is driven by various factors such as rapid urbanization, a rise in the number of nuclear families, easy availability of home loans, etc.
In the first quarter of 2021, more than 58,300 units were sold, with Mumbai Metropolitan Region (MMR) and Pune holding more than a 53% share of sales. Cities in southern India, such as Bangalore, Hyderabad, and Chennai, contributed almost 27% of the sales in the residential sector, and the NCR region contributed more than 15% share of the sales.
However, a greater number of new housing projects were launched, which outpaced the housing sales in the country. More than 62,000 housing units were launched in 2021 compared to 41,000 housing units in 2020. Meanwhile, Hyderabad recorded robust growth in the supply of new housing units, with 12,600 housing units in 2021 compared to 3,300 housing units in 2020. Also, Pune and Mumbai Metropolitan Region (MMR) saw significant growth rates of 75% and 40%, respectively.
Mumbai Metropolitan Region (MMR) plays a vital role in the development of the residential sector in terms of supply and absorption of housing units among major cities, and this demand is driven by stamp duty cuts, discounts, and reduced home loan rates. Furthermore, the sales share of the southern markets such as Bengaluru, Chennai, and Hyderabad remained consistent.
Increase in Office Space AbsorptionMany companies, including consultancies and those belonging to the BPM, IT, and Banking, Financial, and Insurance Services (BFIS) sectors, are generating huge demand for office space in the Indian real estate market due to high potential and relaxed FDI norms. In addition, Mumbai consulting firms contributed more than 36% demand for total office space leasing.
In addition, Bangalore is leading in India in terms of the highest volume of office absorption, with more than 7.26 million square feet, followed by Hyderabad. In New Delhi and the National Capital Region (NCR), most demand is contributed by Grade A offices’ space absorption.
Furthermore, in 2021, the renewal of leasing activities was rising in the top six commercial real estate hubs, namely, Bengaluru, Mumbai, Pune, Chennai, Gurugram, and Noida. More than 7,400 leases spanning approximately 90 million square feet area were to be renewed. Furthermore, Mumbai holds the highest share of more than 40% in leasing renewal activity, followed by Pune with a 17% share.
In 2020, various sectors announced plans for office space leasing, resulting in robust growth of office space absorption. For instance, the manufacturing sector accounted for 24% of office space leasing, followed by 3PL, e-commerce, and retail.
India Real Estate Market Competitive AnalysisThe real estate market in India is highly fragmented in nature, with multiple players operating in the market. Higher competition among market players is impacting selling prices and land prices, further leading to oversupply in the market. Furthermore, the market is dominated by a few pan-India branded players and multiple local players. Some of the major developers in the country are Prestige Estates Projects, DLF, Prestige Group, Lodha Group, Oberoi Realty, etc.
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