Indonesia Construction Market - Growth, Trends, COVID-19 Impact, and Forecasts (2022 - 2027)
The Indonesia Construction market is expected to witness a CAGR of 4% during the forecasted period. In 2019, there were approximately 169 thousand construction establishments active in Indonesia. Indonesia's construction industry was experiencing increased growth due to increases in infrastructure construction.
In 2020, however, large-scale social restrictions (PSBB) imposed by the government to contain the spread of COVID-19 and the global travel restrictions had affected the availability of manpower and raw materials, thereby weighing on the Indonesian construction industry's growth in the first half of 2020.
The industry has been impacted by the delays in project implementation and the re-allocation of part of the government's budget towards its fight against COVID-19. The government re-allocated 20.4% of its 2020 budget - USD 1.7 billion - to COVID-19 relief measures.
Indonesia is known as the second most productive and profitable construction market in Asia, where many construction projects are undergoing in both residential and non-residential sectors. Due to the huge demand for residential properties and the property sector's growth in major cities around the country. The public works investment is a key point in the government’s plan to provide water resources, roads, and human settlement infrastructure for long-term development.
Indonesia's receptive stance towards China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) will be a boon to its construction industry over the next decade and help sustain the current rapid pace of development. Private and foreign capital is crucial in bridging the country's widening infrastructure gap.
Key Market TrendsGovernment's Ambitious Infrastructural Development PlansThe industry's growth is expected to be supported by the government's focus on infrastructure development to revive the country's economy.
In late September 2020, the Indonesian Parliament approved the USD 185.3 billion draft budget for 2021. Of the total, it allocated USD 29 billion towards infrastructure development, which will mainly focus on reviving the economy, providing basic services, and improving connectivity.
The government had a plan to begin infrastructure work related to the USD 33 billion capital city relocation project in 2021, but in September 2020, the National Development Planning Agency (Bappenas) announced that the project had been formally put on hold due to the economic impact of the pandemic. Although construction has been suspended, the government will continue to move ahead with its planning, with infrastructure work expected to commence in 2022 or 2023.
The Indonesian construction industry is expected to stabilize and record growth between 2021-2024, supported by infrastructure investments under the National Medium-Term Development Plan. The plan is to invest IDR6 quadrillion (USD 412 billion) in the development of transport, industrial, energy, and housing infrastructure projects over the next four years.
Although construction activity in recent years has been concentrated in Jakarta and the surrounding provinces of Banten and West Java, the Jokowi administration is aiming to decentralize business activity away from Java.
Millennials will Drive Demand for Indonesia’s Residential Construction SectorAccording to Indonesia’s Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS), about 50% of the total population in 2019 was at the working age of between 20 and 54 years old, of which 84 million were millennials with significant purchasing power. Millennials represent a large proportion of the overall consumer market, and their impact on the economy and the property market is huge.
Residential housing is an important market segment in Indonesia and millennials are a vital demand source. Developers are targeting this demographic segment and adjusting their sales processes, especially in the wake of COVID-19.
More than 4,800 landed houses were launched for sale alone in Greater Jakarta or JaBoDeTaBek (Jakarta, Bogor, Depok, Tangerang, and Bekasi) in 2Q 2020. It was around 26.3% more than new launches in 4Q 2019. In 2Q 2020, almost half of the units sold had an estimated average price between IDR 600 million and 1.3 billion (approximately USD 40,000 to 88,000), which is relatively affordable for some millennials.
Competitive LandscapeThe Indonesian construction market is less competitive, with the presence of major local and international players. The Indonesian construction market presents opportunities for growth during the forecast period, which is expected to further drive market competition. The market is fragmented, as many new entrants are eyeing to bag projects to strengthening their positions among the top players.
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