Gulf of Mexico Subsea Systems Market - Growth, Trends, COVID-19 Impact and Forecasts (2022 - 2027)

Gulf of Mexico Subsea Systems Market - Growth, Trends, COVID-19 Impact and Forecasts (2022 - 2027)

The Gulf of Mexico Subsea Systems market is expected to record a CAGR of more than 4.5% throughout the forecast period 2022-2027. The COVID-19 pandemic had a negative impact on the market, which was reflected in the reduced drilling operations in 2020, ascribed to the low oil and gas demand during the outbreak. The region had 75 drilling permits by operators for US Gulf wells in 2019, but this number reduced to 61 in 2020. The Gulf of Mexico Subsea Systems market is expected to thrive in the coming years due to high resource potential in the form of huge oil and gas reserves and a high active rig count. However, frequent natural calamities like hurricanes are expected to impede market growth in the near future.

Key Highlights

• The subsea production segment is expected to dominate the market, owing to increased offshore activity and declining offshore production cost, which is expected to drive offshore drilling during the forecast period.
• The high private participation due to the liberal policies of the countries having authoritarian control in the region places a tremendous opportunity for the market. The countries involved are the United States, Mexico, and Cuba.
• The GOM Federal Offshore or the United States (US) PART region is expected to dominate the market during the forecast period due to the various upcoming projects in the region.

Key Market TrendsSubsea Production Segment to Dominate the Market

• With the rising number of maturing onshore oilfields in recent years, there has been growth in offshore exploration and production (E&P) activities. For instance, the gulf of Mexico region has been continuously witnessing steady growth in crude oil and natural gas production since the 1980s. The growth is attributed to the huge oil and gas discoveries in the shallow as well as deepwater areas of the gulf and the technology development for offshore drilling operations.
• The Gulf of Mexico Federal Offshore's share in the total crude oil production of the United States was around 15% as of 2020. The region is expected to provide more oil and gas production for the adjoining countries and international markets, as many upstream projects are lined up for the near term.
• For instance, in September 2021, the oil and gas giant British Petroleum started the development of the Thunder Horse South Expansion Phase 2 project located in the US Gulf of Mexico. The new phase will likely include the construction of six more wells apart from the existing two wells. The project is a part of BP's plan to increase its Gulf of Mexico petroleum production to around 400,000 barrels by 2025.
• Further, in August 2021, Beacon Offshore Energy (BOE) led consortium reached the final investment decision of USD1.8 billion for the Shenandoah Field Development project located in the Gulf of Mexico, United States. It is a deepwater oil and gas project undertaken by BOE (20.05%) and other partners like Shenhai(49%), a wholly-owned subsidiary of Israel-based Navitas Petroleum, HEQ Deepwater (20%), and BOE-II Exploration (10.95%). The first oil is expected in 2024.
• With the increasing deepwater and ultra-deepwater activities in the Gulf of Mexico, the deepwater fields' production is expected to reach 7.6 million barrels per day by 2025 and 9 million barrels per day by 2040. Hence, the demand for subsea production systems is expected to increase and further drive the market.
• Therefore, the oil and gas industry is shifting toward deeper regions searching for oil and gas to meet the increasing demand. Hence, the subsea production systems share is expected to be the largest among subsea system segments and drive the market.

GOM Federal Offshore or the United States PART Expected to Dominate the Market

• The Gulf of Mexico region has great significance in the subsea industry due to the vast energy resources and infrastructure in the onshore and offshore areas. The GOM federal offshore area is the intellectual property right of the United States Federal Government. The crude oil production in the region accounts for 15% of total US crude oil production, and federal offshore natural gas production in the Gulf accounts for 5% of total US dry production.
• According to the United States Energy Information Administration (EIA), the average crude oil production from the GOM Federal Offshore region was 1,700 thousand barrels per day as of 2021. The number is expected to show an upward trend in the coming years due to the various upcoming projects in offshore waters.
• In November 2021, the US government announced plans to auction around 80.9 million acres of its Gulf of Mexico region for oil and gas extraction. The lease for sale is double the size of Florida. Another separate lease sale offered by the government in Alaska’s Cook Inlet is expected to provide another 192 million barrels of oil and 301 billion cubic feet of gas to drillers.
• The Offshore Mad Dog Phase 2 project, located in 4,500 feet of water in the Gulf of Mexico, is also expected to drive the market. It includes a new semi-submersible floating production platform with an output of around 140,000 gross barrels of crude oil per day from 14 production wells. It injects up to 140,000 barrels of water per day using a local system to enhance oil recovery. The production is expected to get started in 2022, with British Petroleum as the operator.
• Hence, the upcoming projects in deepwater and ultra-deepwater are likely to drive the growth of the subsea systems in the GOM Federal Offshore region during the forecast period.

Competitive Landscape

The Gulf of Mexico subsea systems market is moderately consolidated. Some of the key players in the market include Subsea 7 SA, TechnipFMC PLC, Oceaneering International, Inc., National-Oilwell Varco Inc., and Baker Hughes Co.

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