Canada Payments Market - Growth, Trends, Covid-19 Impact, and Forecasts (2023 - 2028)

Canada Payments Market - Growth, Trends, Covid-19 Impact, and Forecasts (2023 - 2028)

The Canada payments market is expected to register a CAGR of 15.4% during the period of 2022-2027. The primary factor driving the growth of the market in the region is the recurring payments setups, online payments, and robust growth in E-commerce, among others.

• New payment technologies give Canadians more choice, and the options are getting faster, easier to use, and more convenient. Likewise, payment systems now offer more speed; and more than ever, they're globally connected and easy to access. The Bank of Canada invests in backup systems to ensure smooth and resilient operations, even in disruptive events.
• Furthermore, as per the Bank of Canada, about 30 million financial transactions take place in Canada daily. Credit cards, debit cards, and electronic fund transfers are Canada's most preferred payment options.
• Payments Canada operates the country's two main payment systems, which the Bank oversees: The Large Value Transfer System (LVTS) and The Automated Clearing Settlement System (ACSS). Banks and other financial institutions use the LVTS to make very large payments safely and instantly. At the same time, ACSS settles small-value retail transactions between buyers and sellers that are paid by cheque, debit, or pre-authorized payments.
• There has been a rapid technological change in the field of electronic money and payments in recent years in the region. The trend toward electronic payments is likely to accelerate in the future. These developments can fundamentally change how Canadians pay for goods and services over the Internet and in traditional point-of-sale transactions.
• Innovation in payment technology has increased the country's productivity and expanded the size of the Canadian economy. Banks in Canada are heavily invested in Payment Canada's payment modernization project, including the Real-time Rail, which will allow Canadians to make payments and receive funds in seconds every hour of every day. This is in addition to investments that have been made in Canada's high-value payment system, which is the backbone of Canada's financial market infrastructure.
• However, payment constraints and transfer limits are the most prevalent payment challenges in the Canadian payments market, which can hamper the market's growth. These encounters primarily relate to either limits on transfer amounts or payment choice constraints when consumers cannot choose their preferred payment method.
• The COVID-19 pandemic deeply impacted the payment industry in Canada. Lockdowns and brick-and-mortar business closures restricted Canadians from making in-person purchases and changed the way they transacted before the outbreak. While overall spending decreased due to concerns about the economy and personal finances, Canadians spent more money online, accelerating the shift from cash to digital payments. At the same time, there was a sharp rise in contactless payment solutions, such as cards, smartphones, and wearable devices.

• Canada is a lucrative and high-spending e-commerce market. As per the IMF, Canada’s economy is forecast to grow by 3.9% in 2022 and 2.85 in 2023. Furthermore, as per World Bank data, the average Canadian earns USD 43,450 a year, 27% more than the average EU citizen.
• The COVID-19 pandemic helped fuel sharp growth in e-commerce payments in 2020. Due to lockdown and emergency stay-at-home orders, consumers replaced in-store with online shopping. It is likely that Canadians will continue to leverage online platforms for everyday needs, even after the COVID-19 pandemic. Many businesses transformed by moving to e-commerce sales platforms for the first time. This contributed to the rise in online purchases, as Canadians had more choices for online shopping.
• A PayPal Canada survey revealed that Canadians, in general, are spending USD 178 each month online, an increase of USD 69 from pre-pandemic, even as Canadians emerge from lockdown. Overall, this increase represents more than USD 2 billion in monthly online spending.
• Furthermore, the innovative payment solutions offered by leading E-commerce companies further paved the way for the growth of the E-commerce market. Lucrative cashback and loyalty programs on the credit card used for online shopping heavily influence the shift. As per Payments Canada, 78% of Canadians have a reward linked to their cards. Most of these reward programs issue points in various ways, including travel, general, and cashback rewards.
• Moreover, in Canada, the evolution of M-commerce is further proliferating online shopping, supported by a high internet penetration rate and mobile penetration rate. Furthermore, innovative payment solutions offered by E-commerce companies make payments checkout easy, with many of them offering digital wallets for online purchases. Furthermore, many E-commerce companies offer real-time payments like BNPL, attracting consumers to move toward E-commerce.

• Buy Now Pay Later services are rapidly evolving in the Canadian payments market. BNPL allows consumers to divvy up an online purchase into multiple payments, often at 0% interest and without fees. Various leading payments providers such as Klarna, Affirm, PayBright, and Afterpay is providing Real-time payments such as Buy Now Pay Later services to consumers in the region.
• Furthermore, many modern BNPL services can be accessed almost instantly online at the point of sale and can be used to pay for a much broader (and less expensive) range of products and services than before, including clothing, household essentials, groceries, entertainment, travel, and so on. This factor is further proliferating the growth of Real-time payments in the region.
• Payments Canada is a public purpose organization that owns and operates Canada's payments systems. Payments Canada is working closely with the Real-time payments ecosystem to modernize Canada's payments and to launch Canada's Real-time payment system, Real-Time Rail. Operated by Payments Canada and regulated by the Bank of Canada, the RTR will allow Canadians to initiate payments and receive irrevocable funds in seconds, 24/7/365. Leveraging the ISO 20022 data standard, the system will support payment information traveling with every payment. The RTR is expected to launch in 2022.
• Payments Canada is partnering with the leading payments solutions provider companies in the region for the Real-Time Rail Payments system. For instance, in March 2021, Payments Canada announced the selection of Interac Corp. as the exchange solution provider for Canada's real-time payments system, the Real-Time Rail (RTR). The announcement follows a selection process that includes participation from the Bank of Canada.
• Furthermore, the exchange solution provided by Interac will allow Payments Canada members participating in the RTR to send and receive RTR payment messages. The partnership will leverage Interac's existing infrastructure in Canada's payment ecosystem and its existing connectivity to nearly 300 financial institutions. To enable the settlement of RTR payments in real-time, the exchange solution will interface with the clearing and settlement solution being provided by Mastercard's Vocalink. This will further enhance the capabilities of the Canada payments market in real-time payments.

The competition in the Canadian payments market appears to be moderate as few of the major players currently hold significant market share. These major players are offering innovative electronic fund transfer technologies and indulging in mergers and acquisitions to gain more market share. Major players in the Canada payments market include Mastercard Inc., Visa Inc., Interac Corp., and PayPal, among others.

• May 2022 - As part of its ongoing commitment to strengthening Canadian innovation, Mastercard unveiled the "Experience Centre" at its Global Intelligence and Cyber Centre of Excellence ("Centre of Excellence") in Vancouver, BC, where local, national, and international tech communities are invited to collaborate on cyber security innovation. The Experience Centre also features emerging Mastercard products and solutions that are already securing digital payments globally, including those developed locally in Vancouver.
• April 2022 - VoPay, a leader in payment innovation, announced that it has partnered with HES FinTech, a European-based lending software vendor, to continue the fintech company's growing loan management portfolio. The strategic partnership will enable Canadian lenders to access more innovative loan technology and real-time bank account payments using a single solution with rich functionality, helping lenders scale up while outperforming competitors in the growing lending market.

• The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
• 3 months of analyst support