ASEAN Condominiums and Apartments Market - Growth, Trends, COVID-19 Impact, and Forecasts (2023 - 2028)

ASEAN Condominiums and Apartments Market - Growth, Trends, COVID-19 Impact, and Forecasts (2023 - 2028)

The ASEAN Condominiums and Apartments Market is anticipated to register a CAGR of more than 7.5% over the forecast period.

• The market has been propelled by the huge number of foreign investors especially Chinese and Russians who are looking forward to buying affordable, luxurious properties as well in the region. Furthermore, economic recovery is anticipated to boost the market growth.
• Singapore's property market is expected to recover faster than its Southeast Asian peers from the Covid-19-induced slump as the region rushes to vaccinate its population. Vietnam is also expected to perform better than the majority of the region's major economies. Even though the fact that challenges are unlikely to disappear anytime soon, the region as a whole has some upside in 2022, with economic recovery expected to be more visible in 2023. Aside from a noticeable increase in housing demand, Vietnam's industrial property markets have performed well. Malaysia, the Philippines, and Thailand, on the other hand, are likely to face difficulties this year. Home prices in Manila, Kuala Lumpur, and Penang are still 3-5% lower than in 2020, while those in Jakarta, Indonesia's capital, are largely flat.
• Over the last five years, Cambodia's real estate investment market has grown as foreign buyers have fueled property development, particularly in the capital, Phnom Penh. Moreover, despite a slowing in demand as Covid-19 took hold, the sector is well-positioned for post-pandemic recovery, thanks in part to the country's high vaccination rate. Cambodia, indicating increased market confidence over the previous year. The website, which has over 30,000 active property listings and 200,000 monthly visitors, also saw an increase in traffic from international buyers during H1 2022. There has been an increase in Hong Kong investors. Many of the buyers are from China, Japan, South Korea, and Singapore, but there are also investors from the United States, Europe, and Australia.
• Mainland Chinese buyers have purchased the most private apartments in Singapore in 2022, outnumbering other foreigners, highlighting the amount of wealth flowing into the city-state from the world's second-largest economy. According to a report by industry watcher OrangeTee & Tie, Chinese buyers purchased 932 private units in the first eight months of 2022, nearly twice the number purchased by Malaysians, who came in second. Chinese buyers accounted for nearly 20% of sales, or 81 units, for luxury condominiums priced above USD 3.5 million. Americans came in second place with 34 units. India is among the top five foreign buyers, followed by the United States and Indonesia.
• Russia's invasion of Ukraine has resulted in economic sanctions against its citizens that are among the swiftest and most severe ever imposed on any country. Sanctions have had a little economic impact, either in Russia or elsewhere. However, the Southeast Asian property market has shown signs of bucking this trend, albeit in a few select destinations such as Pattaya, Phuket, and Bali. Inquiries for properties in Thailand increased by 50% in March 2022 compared to the previous year, and by 200% in April 2022. Bali had the highest increase in inquiries in Southeast Asia, up 360% in the first quarter compared to the same period last year. Uncertainty at home and punitive sanctions in many foreign destinations have fueled the trend.

In November 2022, Singapore developers sold 259 new homes excluding executive condominiums (ECs), a 17.3% decrease from the 313 units sold in October 2022. This is the lowest monthly sales total since December 2014, and it is also lower than the 277 units sold in April 2020, when the Circuit Breaker period began. The absence of notable project launches in November contributed to the lackluster new home sales. According to Song, developers launched 319 housing units excluding ECs last month, the majority of which were "smallish" launches with lukewarm take-up. While November 2022's launched units tripled the 102 homes launched in October 2022, it is 75% lower y-o-y.

The outbreak of the Ukrainian war in February 2022 jolted the world, which was still reeling from the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. The resulting turmoil in global markets has shaken investor confidence, but there is still some good news in the Southeast Asian region, particularly in the residential housing market. Despite global uncertainties, Thailand, Indonesia, and Malaysia are experiencing increased demand, with the latter two experiencing higher asking or listing prices. Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam's residential markets remain resilient. In terms of attracting foreign investments, the Southeast Asian region remained a magnet for FDI, which directly supported job growth and allowed economies to recover faster from the pandemic-caused slowdown.

The housing market in Kuala Lumpur has been particularly difficult, with prices falling 5.7% year on year. However, with infection rates beginning to fall and the government's recent effort to re-open more economic sectors following the acceleration of the vaccine drive, housing demand is expected to recover in 2022, and we may be able to see the light at the end of the tunnel for the city's residential market in the coming year. the introduction of REITs in the Philippines, which has gotten off to a roaring start with five new listings in less than two years - a much faster pace than seen in India. Long term, the introduction of REITs can benefit the country by raising fundamentals in its real estate sector to a whole new level.

Rich mainland Chinese have been the top foreign buyers of expensive private properties in Singapore in 2022, despite tax increases, as the city-state benefits from post-pandemic reopening and a relatively strong currency. Singapore has long been a magnet for the ultra-wealthy, drawn by the Southeast Asian city-state's stable politics, strong currency, and reputation as a haven for assets. Singapore's property prices have also tended to rise gradually, with fewer sharp rises and falls than in other popular markets. Stamp duties for foreigners without permanent residency were raised from 20% to 30% in 2022 to cool the private property market. Despite this, 143 luxury apartments were sold to foreigners from January to August 2022, up from 136 in the same period in 2019.

Southeast Asia has recently caught the attention of Gulf real estate investors. It's not surprising. Despite their booming economies, GCC (Gulf Cooperation Council) countries are dealing with over-liquidity and oversupply in the property market, both of which are hurting the sector and putting pressure on yields. Singapore was the first choice for ASEAN property investors. The property market in the city-state is still strong, but it has slowed due to a slowing economy, tighter lending regulations, and the region's highest real estate prices. As a result, investors turned elsewhere, identifying Malaysia and Thailand as new emerging real estate havens. Purchasing condos in Bangkok, particularly one-bedroom units near mass-transit stations, will be a long-term trend.

The ASEAN Condominiums and Apartments Market is fragmented with the presence of a large number of local and regional players, as well as global players. The major players include Ayala Land Inc., Pace Development Corporation (PACE), Vinhomes, Major Development PCL, Sinar Mas Land (SML), and many others. The local and regional players have a good foothold in the region as they are aware of the customers' needs and cater to them with a good number of properties. Global players can enter the market by developing affordable and luxurious residents as per the demand in the country they are serving.

• The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
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