Cross-border eCommerce: Key Trends, Regional Analysis & Market Forecasts 2023-2028

Our new Cross-border eCommerce research report provides a highly detailed analysis of the evolution of this dynamic market. This assessment features an examination of the different drivers, including the continued expansion of marketplaces, an examination of challenges, such as different regulatory jurisdictions, and assessing key factors encouraging and disincentivising consumers and merchants from purchasing items from overseas. The report also contains a Juniper Research Competitor Leaderboard for eCommerce merchants catering for an international market, positioning 17 key vendors; providing an important resource for understanding this complex market.

Furthermore, the report examines the future technologies that may play a role in cross-border eCommerce, including blockchain and CBDCs (Central Bank Digital Currencies), and how these will influence online sales. The report includes extensive market forecasts; delivering detailed insights and segmenting eCommerce payments by domestic versus cross-border, including splits for transaction value and volume, by the below categories:

Digital Goods
Physical Goods
Mobile-based Payments
PC-based Payments

KEY FEATURES

Market Dynamics: Provides a detailed assessment of market drivers and the key market trends within the cross-border eCommerce market, as well as an in-depth evaluation of the future growth of the market and readiness for further disruption. This enables readers to understand the critical innovations driving this market forward.
Key Takeaways & Strategic Recommendations: Featuring major opportunities and crucial factors for cross-border eCommerce highlighted across the landscape; making for important reading for key stakeholders, including the eCommerce platforms themselves.
Juniper Research Competitor Leaderboard: Key player capability and capacity assessment for 17 cross-border eCommerce platforms; positioning them as either established leaders, leading challengers, or disruptors and challengers. Our Competitor Leaderboard scores these companies on their size of operations in the space, their extent and breadth of market partnerships, the sophistication of their platforms, and Juniper Research’s view on each company’s innovation and future business prospects. The company profiles included in Juniper Research’s Cross-border eCommerce Competitor Leaderboard are the following:
Alibaba Group
Allegro
Amazon
eBay
Etsy
JD.com
Jumia
Mercado Libre
Mercari
Newegg
Pinduoduo / Temu
Rakuten
Shopee
Vinted
Walmart
Wildberries
Zalando
Benchmark Industry Forecasts: 5-year forecasts for the cross-border eCommerce market, including the total volume and value of domestic versus cross-border eCommerce split between physical & digital goods, and purchases made from mobile/PC devices. This data is also split by our 8 key regions and 60 countries as follows:
North America:
Canada, US
Latin America:
Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Mexico, Peru, Uruguay
West Europe:
Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, UK
Central & East Europe:
Croatia, Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Romania, Russia, Turkey, Ukraine
Far East & China:
China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea
Indian Subcontinent:
Bangladesh, India, Nepal, Pakistan
Rest of Asia Pacific:
Australia, Indonesia, Malaysia, New Zealand, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam
Africa & Middle East
Algeria, Egypt, Israel, Kenya, Kuwait, Nigeria, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, United Arab Emirates

Please note: the online download version of this report is for a global site license.


1. Key Takeaways
1.1 Key Takeaways
1.1.1 Cross-border eCommerce Growing Rapidly
Figure 1.1: Total Volume of Cross-border Remote Payments for Physical & Digital Goods (m), Global, 2023-2028
1.1.2 mCommerce Will Be the Dominant Form of Cross-border eCommerce
1.2 Strategic Recommendations
1.2.1 Leverage Marketplaces and Multichannel Approach for Introductions to New Markets
1.2.2 Maximise Local Payment Methods
1.2.3 Focus on Specific Markets
2. Market Overview
2.1 Introduction
2.1.2 Cross-border eCommerce
2.1.3 Key Trends
i. Factors influencing Cross-border eCommerce Purchases
Figure 2.1: Most Important Factors Influencing Cross-border Purchases, 2020
Figure 2.2: The Top Cart Abandonment Reasons When Shopping Online Internationally, 2022
Table 2.3: Advantages & Disadvantages of Independent eCommerce vs eCommerce Marketplaces for Merchants
2.1.4 Challenges
i. Foreign Exchange Rates
ii. Language Barrier
iii. Customer Data/Data Privacy
iv. Logistics/Delivery/Warehousing
v. mCommerce
Table 2.4: Advantages & Disadvantages of Mobile Websites and Apps
vi. Marketing
vii. Sustainability Concerns
viii. Export/Import Tariffs, Shipping Taxes and Duties
ix. Fraud Risk
x. Geo-blocking
xi. Sanctions
xii. Regulations
xiii. Payments
xiv. Consumer Payment Preferences
Figure 2.5: eCommerce Payment Preferences in Key Markets, 2022
xv. Blockchain and Cross-border eCommerce
Figure 2.6: Blockchain-enabled Cross-border Payment Process
2.1.5 Recommendations to Stakeholders
3. Cross-border eCommerce: Regional Analysis
3.1 Regional Analysis
Figure 3.1: Value of Cross-border eCommerce by Country ($m), 2022
Figure 3.2: Countries with the Highest Percentage of Cross-border Shoppers, 2022
i. North America
ii. Latin America
iii. West Europe
Table 3.3: Cross-border Market Share and Total Turnover (€b), Split by Country, 2021
Table 3.4: Top 10 European eCommerce Players, 2022
iv. Central & East Europe
v. Far East & China
vi. Indian Subcontinent
vii. Rest of Asia Pacific
viii. Africa & Middle East
4. Competitor Leaderboard and Vendor Profiles
4.1 Why Read This Report?
Table 4.1: Juniper Research Competitor Leaderboard: Cross-border eCommerce
Figure 4.2: Juniper Research Competitor Leaderboard for Cross-border
eCommerce
Table 4.3: Juniper Research Competitor Leaderboard: Cross-border eCommerce
Vendors & Positioning
Table 4.4: Juniper Research Competitive Leaderboard Heatmap: Cross-border
eCommerce Vendors
4.2 Vendor Profiles
4.2.1 Alibaba Group
i. Corporate
Table 4.5: Alibaba’s Group Revenue and Operating Income ($b), 2021–2022
ii. Geographic Spread
iii. Key Clients & Strategic Partnerships
iv. High-level View of Offerings
v. Juniper Research’s View: Key Strengths & Strategic Opportunities
4.2.2 Allegro
i. Corporate
Table 4.6: Allegro’s Revenue and Earnings ($b), 2021–2022
ii. Geographic Spread
iii. Key Clients & Strategic Partnerships
iv. High-level View of Offerings
v. Juniper Research’s View: Key Strengths & Strategic Opportunities ..
4.2.3 Amazon
i. Corporate
Table 4.7: Amazon’s Revenue & Gross Profit ($b), 2021–2022
ii. Geographic Spread
iii. Key Clients & Strategic Partnerships
iv. High-level View of Offerings
v. Juniper Research’s View: Key Strengths & Strategic Opportunities ..
4.2.4 eBay
i. Corporate
Table 4.8: eBay’s Revenue & Net Income ($b), 2021–2022
ii. Geographic Spread
iii. Key Clients & Strategic Partnerships
iv. High-level View of Offerings
v. Juniper Research’s View: Key Strengths & Strategic Opportunities ..
4.2.5 Etsy
i. Corporate
Table 4.9: Etsy’s Revenue & Gross Profit ($b), 2021–2022
ii. Geographic Spread
iii. Key Clients & Strategic Partnerships
iv. High-level View of Offerings
v. Juniper Research’s View: Key Strengths & Strategic Opportunities ..
4.2.6 JD.com
i. Corporate
Table 4.10: JD.com’s Revenue & Earnings ($b), 2021–2022
ii. Geographic Spread
iii. Key Clients & Strategic Partnerships
iv. High-level View of Offerings
v. Juniper Research’s View: Key Strengths & Strategic Opportunities ..
4.2.7 Jumia
i. Corporate
Table 4.11: Jumia’s Revenue & Gross Profit ($m), 2021–2022
ii. Geographic Spread
iii. Key Clients & Strategic Partnerships
iv. High-Llevel View of Offerings
v. Juniper Research’s View: Key Strengths & Strategic Opportunities
4.2.8 Mercado Libre
i. Corporate
Table 4.12: Mercado Libre’s Revenue & Earnings ($b), 2021–2022
ii. Geographic Spread
iii. Key Clients & Strategic Partnerships
iv. High-level View of Offerings
v. Juniper Research’s View: Key Strengths & Strategic Opportunities
4.2.9 Mercari
i. Corporate
Table 4.13: Mercari’s Revenue ($b) & Active Users (m), 2021–2022
ii. Geographic Spread
iii. Key Clients & Strategic Partnerships
iv. High-level View of Offerings
v. Juniper Research’s View: Key Strengths & Strategic Opportunities
4.2.10 Newegg
i. Corporate
Table 4.14: Newegg’s Revenue ($b) and Average Order Value ($), 2021–2022
ii. Geographic Spread
iii. Key Clients & Strategic Partnerships
iv. High-level View of Offerings
v. Juniper Research’s View: Key Strengths & Strategic Opportunities
4.2.11 Pinduoduo & Temu
i. Corporate
Table 4.15: Pinduoduo’s Revenue & Earnings ($b), 2021–2022
ii. Geographic Spread
iii. Key Clients & Strategic Partnerships
iv. High-level View of Offerings
v. Juniper Research’s View: Key Strengths & Strategic Opportunities ..
4.2.12 Rakuten
i. Corporate
Table 4.16: Rakuten’s Revenue & Net Income ($b), 2021–2022
ii. Geographic Spread
iii. Key Clients & Strategic Partnerships
iv. High-level View of Offerings
v. Juniper Research’s View: Key Strengths & Strategic Opportunities ..
4.2.13 Shopee
i. Corporate
Table 4.17: Shopee’s Revenue ($b) & Gross Orders (b), 2021–2022
ii. Geographic Spread
iii. Key Clients & Strategic Partnerships
iv. High-level View of Offerings
v. Juniper Research’s View: Key Strengths & Strategic Opportunities ..
4.2.14 Vinted
i. Corporate
Table 4.18: Vinted’s Revenue & Losses ($m), 2021–2022
ii. Geographic Spread
iii. Key Clients & Strategic Partnerships
iv. High-level View of Offerings
v. Juniper Research’s View: Key Strengths & Strategic Opportunities ..
4.2.15 Walmart
i. Corporate
Table 4.19: Walmart’s Revenue & Earnings ($b), 2021–2022
ii. Geographic Spread
iii. Key Clients & Strategic Partnerships
iv. High-level View of Offerings
v. Juniper Research’s View: Key Strengths & Strategic Opportunities
4.2.16 Wildberries
i. Corporate
Table 4.20: Wildberries’ Total Turnover ($b) & Total Goods Sold (b), 2021–
ii. Geographic Spread
iii. Key Clients & Strategic Partnerships
iv. High-level View of Offerings
v. Juniper Research’s View: Key Strengths & Strategic Opportunities
4.2.17 Zalando
i. Corporate
Table 4.21: Zalando’s Revenue ($b) & Gross Profit (% of Revenue), 2021–2022 .
ii. Geographic Spread
iii. Key Clients & Strategic Partnerships
iv. High-level View of Offerings
v. Juniper Research’s View: Key Strengths & Strategic Opportunities
4.3 Juniper Research Competitor Leaderboard Assessment Methodology
4.4 Limitations & Interpretation
Table 4.22: Juniper Research Competitor Leaderboard Scoring Criteria – Crossborder
eCommerce
5. Cross-border eCommerce: Market Forecasts
5.1 Introduction
5.2 Methodology & Assumptions
i. Digital Goods
ii. Physical Goods
Figure 5.1: Cross-border eCommerce Forecast Methodology, Physical Goods
Figure 5.2: Cross-border eCommerce Forecast Methodology, Digital Goods
5.3 Cross-border eCommerce Forecasts
5.3.1 Transaction Volume, Split by Channel
Figure & Table 5.3: Total Volume of Remote Payments for Physical & Digital
Goods (m), Split by Domestic and Cross-border, 2023-2028
Table 5.4: Share of Remote Payments Volume for Physical & Digital Goods (%)
Split by Domestic & Cross-border, 2023-2028
5.3.2 Transaction Value, Split by Channel
Figure & Table 5.5: Total Value of Remote Payments for Physical & Digital Goods
($m), Split by Domestic and Cross-border, 2023-2028
Table 5.6: Share of Remote Payments Value for Physical & Digital Goods (%) Split
by Domestic & Cross-border, 2023-2028
5.3.3 Transaction Volume, Split by Device
Figure & Table 5.7: Total Volume of Remote Payments for Domestic & Crossborder
Goods ($m) Split by Device, 2023-2028
Table 5.8: Share of Remote Payments Volume for Domestic & Cross-border
Goods (%) Split by Device, 2023-2028
5.3.4 Transaction Value, Split by Device
Figure & Table 5.9: Total Value of Remote Payments for Domestic & Crossborder
Goods ($m) Split by Device, 2023-2028
Table 5.10: Share of Remote Payments Value for Domestic & Cross-border
Goods (%) Split by Device, 2023-2028

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