Worldwide Smartphone Forecast Update, 2024–2028

Worldwide Smartphone Forecast Update, 2024–2028


This IDC study presents the updated five-year forecast for smartphone shipments worldwide by operating system. The smartphone market will reach 1.21 billion units shipped in 2024, up 4.0% from the 1.16 billion units shipped in 2023. From there, shipments will hit 1.30 billion units in 2028, the final year of our forecast period, resulting in a CAGR of 2.3%."5G-powered devices continue to fuel the market as these devices will display a near 16% growth in 2024 as adoption continues to expand across all regions and markets," said Anthony Scarsella, research director with IDC's Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker. "The 15.9% growth in 2024 will be followed by another year of double-digit growth in 2025 (+13.2%) as 5G market share will climb to 74.4%, up from 67.2% in 2024. With 5G devices becoming less relevant in most developed markets, the growth of 5G in emerging markets will play a central role in driving shipments throughout the forecast period. With the overall smartphone demonstrating a CAGR of 2.3% from 2024 to 2028, 5G shipments will display an imposing 9.1% growth rate for the same period."

Please Note: Extended description available upon request.


IDC Market Forecast Figure
Executive Summary
Advice for Technology Suppliers
Foldable Price Points Falling
Incorporate AI
Market Forecast
Forecast by Operating System
Android
iOS
Forecast Comparison: Smartphones Versus Feature Phones
Feature Phones
Smartphones
Forecast by Region
Smartphone ASP Forecast
Market Context
Drivers and Inhibitors
Drivers
5G Handsets
Screen Sizes
Inhibitors
Replacement Cycle
Inflation
Significant Market Developments
Google Brings New Theft Protection Features to Android
Changes from Prior Forecast
Market Definition
Feature Phone
Smartphone
Methodology
Primary Data Sources
Secondary Sources
IDC's Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker
Related Research

Download our eBook: How to Succeed Using Market Research

Learn how to effectively navigate the market research process to help guide your organization on the journey to success.

Download eBook

Other tasks

Cookie Settings