Worldwide Smartphone Forecast, 2025-2029: CY 1Q25

This IDC study presents the five-year forecast for smartphone shipments worldwide by operating system.“As a mature market, the worldwide smartphone market is not expected to show drastic swings in the years to come,” points out Ramon T. Llamas, research director with IDC’s Mobile Phones team. “However, ongoing political and economic trends can affect our forecast. For now, based on the information we have available — including current decisions on tariffs and political responses — we believe that the worldwide smartphone market is still sound and will see increases in 2025 and beyond.”


IDC Market Forecast Figure

Executive Summary

Advice for Technology Suppliers

Market Forecast

Forecast by Operating System

Android

iOS

Forecast by Region

Smartphone ASP Forecast

Market Context

Drivers and Inhibitors

Drivers

5G Handsets

Screen Sizes

Inhibitors

Replacement Cycle

Inflation

Significant Market Developments

Changes from Prior Forecast

Market Definition

Smartphone

Methodology

Primary Data Sources

Secondary Sources

IDC’s Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker

Related Research

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