Worldwide Quantum Computing Forecast, 2024–2028: Quantum Optimization and the Quest for the Killer Quantum Use Case
This IDC study provides historical data (2020–2023) and forecast data (2024–2028) for the worldwide quantum computing market. These data focus on end user spend in two categories — quantum computing-specific and quantum computing-related — both of which cover the systems, platforms, technologies, and services customers need to use pure quantum computing systems, quantum-inspired computing systems (such as simulators and emulators), and quantum computing technologies that either developed in response to quantum computing or leverage quantum mechanics for something other than quantum computation. For each of these categories, IDC estimated the value of end user spend. In this study, IDC also illustrates the changing trends in quantum computing investments. "The value of quantum computing will only be realized when end users from a variety of industries can leverage the technology to solve real-world problems," says Heather West, PhD, research manager, Quantum Computing, Infrastructure Systems, Platforms, and Technologies Research at IDC. "To accelerate the adoption of quantum computing, quantum hardware vendors need to focus on both the development of scalable, error-corrected hardware, as well as quantum software that makes infrastructure management, resource allocation, and application development easier for non-quantum computing end users."
IDC Market Forecast Figure
Executive Summary
Advice for Technology Suppliers
Market Forecast
Market Context
Drivers and Inhibitors
Drivers
AI as a Catalyst for Quantum Optimization
Growing Demand for Advanced Computational Solutions
Government and Institutional Support
Inhibitors
High Costs of Development and Implementation
Hype and Unrealistic Vendor Expectations
Significant Market Developments
Changes from Prior Forecast
Market Definition
Quantum Computing Systems
Quantum Computing–Specific Platforms and Technologies
Quantum-Inspired Computing Technologies
Quantum Computing Provisioned Services
Quantum Computing–Related Systems, Platforms, and Technologies
Quantum Computing–Related Services
Quantum Computing–Specific Professional Services
Methodology
Related Research
Research Assistance
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