Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast, 2024–2028

Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast, 2024–2028


This IDC study presents the five-year forecast for mobile phone shipments worldwide by device type. The worldwide mobile phone market will reach 1,393.2 million units shipped in 2024, up 1% from the 1,380.1 million units shipped in 2023. From there, total mobile phone shipments will grow to 1,437.8 million units worldwide by 2028, resulting in a CAGR of 0.8% for 2023-2028."The market faced steep challenges in 2023 but remained resilient in the holiday quarter, as 2024 is forecast to bring near 3% growth to the smartphone market," said Anthony Scarsella, research director with IDC's Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker. "Although many of the same macroeconomic challenges will remain in 2024, replacement cycle refreshes and demand in many emerging markets will help drive the growth throughout the year. Moreover, the growth of 5G continues to push smartphone users to upgrade as entry-level 5G devices become more affordable for first-time buyers in many key markets. "

Please Note: Extended description available upon request.


IDC Market Forecast Figure
Executive Summary
Advice for Technology Suppliers
Incorporate AI
Remain Cognizant of Low-End Market Pricing
Market Forecast
Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast
Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast by Region
Mobile Phone Forecast by Device Type
Feature Phones
Smartphones
Mobile Phone Forecast by Air Interface Group
GSM/CDMA
UMTS/WCDMA
4G
5G
Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast by ASP
Market Context
Drivers and Inhibitors
Drivers
5G Handsets
Screen Sizes
Inhibitors
Refresh Rates
Inflation
Significant Market Developments
Apple Finally Tops the Market
Changes from Prior Forecast
Market Definition
Feature Phone
Smartphone
Methodology
Primary Data Sources
Secondary Sources
IDC's Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker
Related Research

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