Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast, 2022–2026


Attention: There is an updated edition available for this report.

Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast, 2022–2026

This IDC study presents the five-year forecast for mobile phone shipments worldwide by device type. The worldwide mobile phone market will reach 1,634.1 million units shipped in 2022, down 1.3% from the 1,655.7 million units shipped in 2021. From there, total mobile phone shipments will grow to 1,699.3 million units worldwide by 2026, resulting in a CAGR of 0.5% from 2021 to 2026. "The better-than-expected finish to 2021 had smartphones growing an impressive 13.3% from 2020, which will be a hard task to beat in 2022," said Anthony Scarsella, research manager with IDC's Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker. "Looking ahead, we expect growth to be modest in 2022 as many uncertainties around the pandemic, the Russia-Ukraine war, and the component supply will remain unclear over the year. Although we do not feel that these issues will have a severe impact on the mobile phone market, all three scenarios could alter the short-term forecast because of the potential of supply chain disruptions."

Please Note: Extended description available upon request.


IDC Market Forecast Figure
Executive Summary
Advice for Technology Suppliers
Monitor the Supply Chain
Devices at All Price Points
Market Forecast
Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast, 2022–2026
Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast by Region
Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast by Device Type
Feature Phones
Smartphones
Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast by Air Interface Group
CDMA
GSM
UMTS/WCDMA
4G
5G
Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast by ASP
Market Context
Drivers and Inhibitors
Drivers
5G Handsets
Policy
Inhibitors
COVID-19
Component Shortage
Significant Market Developments
The Russia-Ukraine War
Changes from Prior Forecast
Market Definition
Feature Phone
Smartphone
Methodology
Primary Data Sources
Secondary Sources
IDC's Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker
Related Research

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