Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast, 2022–2026
This IDC study presents the five-year forecast for mobile phone shipments worldwide by device type. The worldwide mobile phone market will reach 1,634.1 million units shipped in 2022, down 1.3% from the 1,655.7 million units shipped in 2021. From there, total mobile phone shipments will grow to 1,699.3 million units worldwide by 2026, resulting in a CAGR of 0.5% from 2021 to 2026. "The better-than-expected finish to 2021 had smartphones growing an impressive 13.3% from 2020, which will be a hard task to beat in 2022," said Anthony Scarsella, research manager with IDC's Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker. "Looking ahead, we expect growth to be modest in 2022 as many uncertainties around the pandemic, the Russia-Ukraine war, and the component supply will remain unclear over the year. Although we do not feel that these issues will have a severe impact on the mobile phone market, all three scenarios could alter the short-term forecast because of the potential of supply chain disruptions."
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