IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Future of Trust 2024 Predictions
This IDC study presents IDC’s top 10 predictions for the future of trust in 2024 and beyond.“Research shows that trust is a requirement for individuals and organizations to share their personal and organizational data. And high-quality data is needed to create AI models that contribute high-quality insight. Trust precedes every step of a successful artificial intelligence journey.” — Grace Trinidad, research director, Future of Trust
Please Note: Extended description available upon request.
IDC FutureScape Figure
Executive Summary
IDC FutureScape Predictions
Summary of External Drivers
Predictions: Impact on Technology Buyers
Prediction 1: By 2024, 35% of G2000 Will Deploy GenAI on First-Party Data in Their SOCs for Detection and Response to Uplevel Analysts While Addressing Hallucinations, Bias, Privacy, and Reinforced Learning Concerns
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Business Impact
Guidance
Prediction 2: Emergent and Illusive GenAI-Based Pretexting Will Drive 45% of Midsize and Large Organizations to Adopt Identity Detection and Response Solutions by 2026
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
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Guidance
Prediction 3: By 2026, States Representing 20% of the U.S. Population Will Introduce Laws to Curtail and Manage the Use of Deepfake Technologies Such as AI-Generated Video, Voice, and Images That Use a Person’s Likeness
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Business Impact
Guidance
Prediction 4: By 2026, 30% of Organizations Will Utilize AI to Enhance Data Privacy Through Use of Data Anonymization, Encryption, Anomaly Detection, and Privacy-Preserving ML Techniques Like Differential Privacy
Associated Drivers
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Guidance
Prediction 5: By the End of 2024, 80% of Large Organizations Will Have Extended Their DLP Deployments to GenAI Environments to Prevent Privacy Violations and Data Breaches
Associated Drivers
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Guidance
Prediction 6: By 2024, 50% of G2000 Organizations Will Need to Demonstrate Compliant Digital Sovereignty Practices Aligned with Local Legislation on Data Processing, Storage, Classification, and Management
Associated Drivers
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Guidance
Prediction 7: By 2026, 40% of Organizations Will Utilize AI-Enabled Risk and Compliance Solutions to Continuously Monitor Data in Real Time to Predict Noncompliance Internally or from Third-Party Associations
Associated Drivers
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Guidance
Prediction 8: By 2027, 50% of Organizations Will Use Quantification Models to Attach a Dollar Figure to Cyber-Risks and Seek Vendors with Incident Response Data to Calculate Probability and Dollar Amounts
Associated Drivers
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Guidance
Prediction 9: By 2026, 20% of Organizations Will Use a Proactive Cybersecurity Platform That Aggregates Risk Exposures to Score and Prioritize Cybersecurity Risk in Totality Instead of One Tool at a Time
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Business Impact
Guidance
Prediction 10: By 2025, 75% G2000 Companies Will Have Implemented Review Boards for Management Oversight of Ethical and Responsible AI Use
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
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Guidance
Advice for Technology Buyers
External Drivers: Detail
AI Everywhere — Generative AI Takes the Spotlight
The Drive to Automate — Maximizing Efficiency and New Opportunities
Geopolitical Turbulence — Sovereignty Under Emerging Fragmentation
Cybersecurity and Risk — Building Resilience Against Multiplying Threats
Shifting Tech Regulatory Landscape — Navigating Risk and Opportunity
Operationalization of ESG — Measuring and Implementing Sustainability