IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Capital Markets 2024 Predictions
This IDC study presents the top 10 predictions and key drivers for the capital markets for the next five years."Over the next five years, a confluence of external drivers is expected to materially impact the competitive basis on which most capital markets participants have historically engaged. Market participants that triangulate strategic technological investment and human talent with the market opportunity arising from structural change can expect to realize disproportionate reward," says Thomas Shuster, research director, Worldwide Capital Markets Digital Transformation Strategies at IDC.
Please Note: Extended description available upon request.
IDC FutureScape Figure
Executive Summary
IDC FutureScape Predictions
Summary of External Drivers
Predictions: Impact on Technology Buyers
Prediction 1: By 2025, the Use of GenAI by Financial Wellness and Robo-Advisory Platforms Will Double Their Adoption Rate
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IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 2: By 2025, 5% of Countries Will Have Issued Sovereign Debt Instruments Using Blockchain Technology
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Guidance
Prediction 3: By 2025, GenAI Assistive Code Development Will Have Driven a 50% Increase in Algorithmic and High-Speed Trading Volumes
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Guidance
Prediction 4: By 2026, Global Market Infrastructure Providers Will Experience 200% Revenue Growth Stemming from Their Provision of Technology
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Guidance
Prediction 5: By 2026, AI Will Drive a 10x Increase in the Utilization of Alternative Market Data
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Guidance
Prediction 6: By 2027, Cognitive Technologies Will Generate a 25% Increase in Merger and Acquisition Returns
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Prediction 7: By 2027, Three-Quarters of Commercial Bond Issuance Will be Accomplished Using Intelligent Pricing Features on Digital Market Platforms
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Prediction 8: By 2027, a Quadrupling of Capital Markets Regulatory Sandboxes Will Lead to Broad Adoption of Innovative Technologies Across the Markets
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Prediction 9: By 2028, Institutional Digital Asset Custody Will Experience 1,000% Growth in Assets Held
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Prediction 10: By 2029, 95% of Global Derivatives Markets Will Employ Smart Contract Technology
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Advice for Technology Buyers
External Drivers: Detail
AI Everywhere — Generative AI Takes the Spotlight
The Drive to Automate — Maximizing Efficiency and New Opportunities
The Digital Business Imperative — Competitiveness and Outcomes
Everything as a Service Intensifies — Transforming Models to Drive Change
Dynamic Work and Skills Requirements — New Work Mode Era
Shifting Tech Regulatory Landscape — Navigating Risk and Opportunity
Operationalization of ESG — Measuring and Implementing Sustainability