United Kingdom (UK) Commercial Motor Insurance Market Dynamics and Opportunities 2023
Summary
This report analyzes the UK commercial motor insurance market, looking at drivers of uptake. It discusses the claims landscape in 2022, as well as the motor market and upcoming regulatory changes within insurance. Incumbent competitors are analyzed and compared, along with newcomers and insurtechs within the space. Future impactors in the market - including inflation and emerging technology, such as AI and autonomous vehicles - are also covered.
The UK commercial motor insurance market contracted by 0.3% from 2021 to 2022 to reach a value of GBP5.65 billion. This may be attributed to economic pressures causing UK businesses to re-evaluate expenses and potentially downsize their fleets. Meanwhile, gross and net claims incurred increased by 9.0% and 15.2%, respectively. Claims inflation remains an issue for insurers, attributed to factors such as supply chain issues, labor shortages, and macroeconomic conditions. Allianz overtook Aviva to become the market leader in 2022, accounting for 10.0% of the market.
Scope
The commercial motor insurance market is expected to grow by 19.4% in 2023e, following a 0.3% decrease in 2022.
The total number of commercial vehicles increased by 3.1% in 2022.
The total miles driven by all vehicles increased by 8.8% from 2021 to 2022.
Gross claims incurred increased by 9.0% in 2022, while net claims incurred increased by 15.2%.
Reasons to Buy
Determine how the market leaders have maintained their positions and evolved their product offerings in the past year.
Understand the effects of the cost-of-living crisis on the market.
Ascertain how newcomers and insurtechs are disrupting and driving innovation.
Identify areas for growth and development in the market going forward.
Recognize the short-term and long-term challenges facing commercial motor insurers.
Executive Summary
Market overview
Key findings
Critical success factors
Market Dynamics
The UK commercial motor insurance market
Table Figure 1: The UK commercial motor insurance market fell by 0.3% in 2022
Table Figure 2: The total number of commercial vehicles increased by 3.1% from 2021 to 2022
Table Total number of commercial vehicles by type (000s), 2018–22
Table Figure 3: Consumer price inflation is trending down but remains far higher than the target rate
Table Figure 4: The total miles driven for all motor vehicles increased by 8.8% in 2022
The commercial motor insurance claims landscape
Table Figure 5: The underwriting result fell to the lowest value since 2016
Table Volume and annual growth rates of total claims recorded and settled, 2018/19–2022/23
Table Figure 6: Claims recorded and claims settled by the CRU continue to fall
Table Figure 7: The total number of casualties remains lower than pre-pandemic levels
Competitor Dynamics
Overview of the market leaders
Table Figure 8: Allianz overtakes Aviva to become market leader
Table UK commercial motor insurance top 10 competitor GWP and market shares, 2020–22
Insurtechs and newcomers
Table Figure 9: Flock provides telematic insurance for motor fleets
The Market Going Forward
Table Figure 10: The commercial motor insurance market is expected to record a CAGR of 4.3% from 2022– 27f
Table Commercial motor insurance market GWP and annual growth, 2022–27f
Technology continues to reshape the commercial motor insurance landscape
EVs are more commonly used in the commercial landscape
Table Figure 11: Larger businesses are more likely to switch to an EV sooner